Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Adolescence. Owen Cooper as Jamie Miller in Adolescence. Cr. Courtesy of Netflix © 2024
Courtesy of Netflix
Emmys Commentary (Updated: March 27, 2025): Official Emmy prediction charts are finally rolling out, and signaling the unofficial start of awards season for the small screen. Early rankings are now live for drama series, comedy series, and limited/anthology series — and yes, it’s as competitive as ever with new shows, familiar faces, rising underdogs, and possibly some eyebrow-raising surprises.
Also in the mix: the first wave of picks for the four guest acting categories. But, take those with a grain of salt. Thanks to a recent shift in the Television Academy’s rules (plus a handful of stealthy shows with surprise appearances not yet released), those categories could change drastically once all contenders are fully revealed. Spoilers could be hiding in plain sight, with the best curveballs not aired yet.
Where are we now in the race?
While the Emmy voting period begins in June, the campaign trail is underway. For Your Consideration (FYC) events are happening around town, as networks and streamers begin courting voters with screenings, panels, and cast Q&As.
Netflix is getting a head start with its award-winning reality series “Love on the Spectrum.” The streamer will host a special event on Monday, April 1, to celebrate the show’s third season, just one day before it drops on the platform (scoop: I’ll be moderating that conversation with the cast).
Meanwhile, the Television Academy’s official events will occur in April and May. Up next on the circuit is a showcase for AMC’s moody supernatural drama “Anne Rice’s Interview with the Vampire” on April 3. Later that week, on April 6, Disney+ will spotlight its acclaimed TV movie “Out of My Mind,” while ABC waltzes in with a tribute to its long-running hit “Dancing with the Stars.”
What’s next?
Below are the updated Emmy predictions across 23 categories, with more to be added over the coming weeks. The first ranking charts for the four main drama acting categories will be revealed on Friday, March 28.
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed below are in alphabetical order)
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Drama Series
![PARADISE - “You Asked for Miracles” - Xavier and Robinson set their plans in motion while Sinatra works to preserve the status quo in Paradise. (Disney/Brian Roedel) STERLING K. BROWN]()
Image Credit: Disney “Andor” (Disney+)
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
“Paradise” (Hulu)
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
“Squid Game” (Netflix)
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max) -
Comedy Series
![Shrinking]()
Image Credit: Apple TV+ “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“The Bear” (FX)
“Hacks” (HBO/Max) ***
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
“What We Do in the Shadows” (FX) -
Limited or Anthology Series
![Michelle Williams - Dying for Sex]()
Image Credit: FX “Adolescence” (Netflix) ***
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max) -
Television Movie
!['G20' Trailer]()
Image Credit: Prime Video “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy” (Peacock)
“The Gorge” (Apple TV+) ***
“G20” (Prime Video)
“Out of My Mind” (Disney+)
“Rebel Ridge” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Lead Actor (Drama)
![THE DAY OF THE JACKAL -- -- Pictured: Eddie Redmayne as The Jackal -- (Photo by: Marcell Piti/PEACOCK)]()
Image Credit: Marcell Piti/PEACOCK Sterling K. Brown
“Paradise” (Hulu)
Gary Oldman
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Pedro Pascal
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Eddie Redmayne
“The Day of the Jackal” (Peacock)
Adam Scott ***
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Noah Wyle
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Lead Actor (Comedy)
![hulu black friday streaming deal]()
Image Credit: Disney Adam Brody
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Ted Danson
“A Man on the Inside” (Netflix)
Steve Martin
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Seth Rogen
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Martin Short
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Jeremy Allen White ***
“The Bear” (FX)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Lead Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
![The Penguin finale Colin Farrell]()
Image Credit: Macall Polay/HBO
Nicholas Alexander Chavez
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Colin Farrell ***
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Stephen Graham
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Brian Tyree Henry
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Kevin Kline
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Cooper Koch
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Lead Actress (Drama)
![“Sixteen Steps” – As Olympia and Julian get a second shot at a case regarding a tragic death due to contaminated baby formula, their past work on the investigation gives glimpses into what led to their divorce. Also, Matty’s overwhelming stress causes her to consider quitting, on MATLOCK, Thursday, Nov. 14 (9:01-10:00 PM, ET/PT) on the CBS Television Network, and streaming on Paramount+ (live and on demand for Paramount+ with SHOWTIME subscribers, or on demand for Paramount+ Essential subscribers the day after the episode airs)*. Pictured (L-R): Kathy Bates as “Madeline Matlock”. Photo: Sonja Flemming/CBS ©2024 CBS Broadcasting, Inc. All Rights Reserved.]()
Image Credit: Courtesy of CBS Kathy Bates ***
“Matlock” (CBS)
Nicola Coughlan
“Bridgerton” (Netflix)
Britt Lower
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Elisabeth Moss
“The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
Bella Ramsey
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Keri Russell
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Lead Actress (Comedy)
![Uzo Aduba]()
Image Credit: Netflix Uzo Aduba
“The Residence” (Netflix)
Kristen Bell
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Quinta Brunson
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Ayo Edebiri
“The Bear” (FX)
Natasha Lyonne
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Jean Smart ***
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Lead Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
![Cristin Milioti Penguin]()
Image Credit: Courtesy of HBO Cate Blanchett
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Rashida Jones
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Nicole Kidman
“The Perfect Couple” (Netflix)
Cristin Milioti
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Lola Petticrew
“Say Nothing” (FX)
Michelle Williams ***
“Dying for Sex” (FX)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Supporting Actor (Drama)
![Sam Rockwell in 'The White Lotus']()
Image Credit: HBO/Max Zach Cherry
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Walton Goggins ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Jason Isaacs
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Jack Lowden
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Sam Rockwell
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Tramell Tillman
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
John Turturro
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Jeffrey Wright
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Supporting Actor (Comedy)
![Jason Segel and Harrison Ford in 'Shrinking']()
Image Credit: Courtesy of Apple TV+ Ike Barinholtz
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Colman Domingo
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Paul W. Downs
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Harrison Ford
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach
“The Bear” (FX)
Michael Urie ***
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Tyler James Williams
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Bowen Yang
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Supporting Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
![Monsters: The Lyle And Erik Menendez Story. Javier Bardem as Jose Menendez in episode 209 of Monsters: The Lyle And Erik Menendez Story. Cr. Miles Crist/Netflix © 2024]()
Image Credit: MILES CRIST/NETFLIX Javier Bardem
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Sacha Baron Cohen
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Owen Cooper ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Jay Duplass
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Rhenzy Felix
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Diego Luna
“La Maquina” (Hulu)
Peter Sarsgaard
“Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Supporting Actress (Drama)
![Katherine LaNasa -- The Pitt]()
Image Credit: HBO/Max Patricia Arquette
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Carrie Coon
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Kaitlyn Dever
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Fiona Dourif
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Allison Janney ***
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
Katherine LaNasa
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Parker Posey
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Natasha Rothwell
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max) -
Supporting Actress (Comedy)
![ABBOTT ELEMENTARY - JANELLE JAMES]()
Image Credit: Gilles Mingasson / ABC / Disney Liza Colón-Zayas
“The Bear” (FX)
Hannah Einbinder
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Kathryn Hahn
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Janelle James ***
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Catherine O’Hara
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Sheryl Lee Ralph
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Meg Stalter
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Jessica Williams
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
![Presumed Innocent]()
Image Credit: Courtesy of Michael Becker/Apple TV+ Erin Doherty ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Lesley Manville
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Ruth Negga
“Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
Deirdre O’Connell
“The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
Jenny Slate
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Sissy Spacek
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Christine Tremarco
“Adolescence” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Guest Actor (Drama)
![Scott Glenn]()
Image Credit: Courtesy of HBO Jon Bernthal
“Daredevil: Born Again” (Disney+)
Andy Garcia
“Landman” (Paramount+)
Scott Glenn ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO/Max)
Shawn Hatosy
“The Pitt” (HBO/Max)
Joe Pantoliano
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Danny Ramirez
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Guest Actress (Drama)
![Gwendoline Christine as Lorde in "Severance"]()
Image Credit: Courtesy of Jon Pack/Apple TV+ Gwendoline Christie
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Catherine O’Hara ***
“The Last of Us” (HBO/Max)
Fiona Shaw
“Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
Hilary Swank
“Yellowjackets” (Paramount+)
Tracey Ullman
“Black Doves” (Netflix)
Merrit Wever
“Severance” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
-
Guest Actor (Comedy)
![John Cena]()
Image Credit: FX Jon Bernthal
“The Bear” (FX)
John Cena ***
“The Bear” (FX)
Bryan Cranston
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Timothée Chalamet
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Christopher McDonald
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Martin Scorsese
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Guest Actress (Comedy)
![ONLY MURDERS IN THE BUILDING - “Valley of the Dolls” - Terrified by a threat inside the Arconia, the trio race out of the city. A member of Charles' family provides refuge and yet, this safe house proves to be anything but. (Disney/Patrick Harbron) MELISSA MCCARTHY, MARTIN SHORT]()
Image Credit: Disney Jamie Lee Curtis
“The Bear” (FX)
Cynthia Erivo
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Ariana Grande
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Melissa McCarthy ***
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Kaitlin Olson
“Hacks” (HBO/Max)
Sarah Polley
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Talk Series
!['The Daily Show']()
Image Credit: Comedy Central “The Daily Show” (Comedy Central) ***
“Everybody’s Live with John Mulaney” (Netflix)
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
“Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Scripted Variety
![SNL50: THE ANNIVERSARY SPECIAL -- Pictured: (l-r) Sabrina Carpenter and Paul Simon perform "Homeward Bound" on February 16, 2025 -- (Photo by: Todd Owyoung/NBC via Getty Images)]()
Image Credit: Todd Owyoung/NBC via Getty Image “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO/Max)
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
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Reality Competition Program
![THE TRAITORS -- "Let Battle Commence" Episode 301 -- Pictured: (l-r) Bob Harper, Ciara Miller, Gabby Windey, Bob The Drag Queen, Nikki Garcia, Chanel Ayan -- (Photo by: Euan Cherry/Peacock)]()
Image Credit: Euan Cherry/Peacock “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
“Survivor” (CBS)
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
“The Traitors” (Peacock) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
